French President Emmanuel Macron greets P.A. Chief Mahmoud Abbas in July 2022 in Paris (video snippet - France 24)
Macron greets Abbas to the Palais de l'Élysée in 2022 (video clip - France24/YouTube)

In September, during the pomp and ceremony of the United Nations General Assembly in New York, France and a coalition of like-minded Western nations intend to officially recognize a “State of Palestine.”

They frame this as a step toward peace, a diplomatic breakthrough, even a humanitarian necessity.

In reality, it is none of these things. It is a dangerous act of appeasement that will embolden terrorists, destabilize the region, and set back any chance of real peace for decades—if not forever.

The evidence is not subtle. It’s screaming in our faces.


1. A Fractured “Nation” That Doesn’t Exist

Before anyone in Paris, Dublin, Madrid, or Brussels starts popping champagne over “statehood,” perhaps they should define who exactly they are recognizing.
There is no unified Palestinian leadership. The Palestinian Authority (PA), dominated by Mahmoud Abbas’ Fatah faction, controls portions of Judea and Samaria. Hamas—the Islamist death cult that butchered over 1,200 Israelis on October 7th—rules Gaza with an iron fist.

The last Palestinian elections were in 2006, when Hamas won. Every credible poll since shows they would win again in a landslide if elections were held today—even in PA-controlled areas.

To “recognize” a Palestinian state now is to hand legitimacy to Hamas by default. It’s an open invitation for them to dominate the entire Palestinian political apparatus, just as they did in Gaza after Israel’s withdrawal in 2005.


2. Hamas Just Admitted It’s a Reward for Mass Murder

If you think the West’s recognition plan is clever statecraft, listen to the people they’re trying to “help.”
Senior Hamas official Razi Hamed declared this week:

“The initiative by several countries to recognize a Palestinian state is one of the fruits of October 7. We have proven that victory over Israel is not impossible, and our weapons are a symbol of Palestinian honor.”

Let that sink in. Hamas is openly calling Western recognition a direct result of the October 7th massacre.
They see the slaughter of civilians, the rape, the kidnapping of children, not as a stain on their cause—but as a winning strategy. By recognizing a Palestinian state now, France and its allies are validating that strategy.

It is not just appeasement—it is incentivizing future massacres.


3. Undefined Borders and a History of Rejection

Since the Oslo Accords of the 1990s, the Palestinians have operated under an interim arrangement, with borders to be determined through negotiations. Every single serious proposal for a two-state solution since then—including ones granting them East Jerusalem as their capital—has been rejected by Palestinian leaders.

Why? Because even their so-called “moderates” have refused to end the conflict or recognize Israel as the Jewish state.

Recognizing a “state” with no agreed borders, no functioning government, and no commitment to coexistence isn’t just bad diplomacy—it’s signing a blank check for permanent war.


4. The Forgotten Jordanian Connection

Here’s what the French and their colleagues won’t tell you: the Arabs living in Judea and Samaria under PA rule were Jordanian citizens until 1988. For 40 years after Israel’s independence, they never once mounted an international campaign to shed that identity.

If the real goal is to ensure these people have national belonging and a passport, there is a straightforward solution—demand that Jordan reinstate their citizenship.
That would give them civil rights, legal status, and a national home without creating a terrorist-led failed state. But that doesn’t fit the “romantic” Western narrative of Palestinian nationalism.


The Hard Truth

France and its allies are not advancing peace—they are rewarding barbarism.

They are signaling to Hamas and every terror movement on Earth that the path to statehood runs through rivers of blood. They are ignoring the reality that Palestinian society is fractured, its politics dominated by extremists, its economy propped up by billions in foreign aid siphoned off by corrupt leaders.

If Western leaders truly care about Palestinian lives, they should focus on building a culture of governance, accountability, and coexistence—not rushing to hand legitimacy to a leadership that has proven time and again it cannot be trusted with either power or peace.

Recognizing a Palestinian state in September won’t end the conflict—it will guarantee that October 7th was not the last time the world sees such horrors.