A new poll conducted by Channel 13 news pollster Professor Camille Fox shows that if the election had been held today, the layout of the seats would have looked like this:
Likud (Netanyahu’s Party) 34 seats; Yesh Atid ( Yair Lapid’s Party) 22; Kachol Lavan (Blue & White)/ Tikvah Hadasha (Benny Gantz And Gideon Saar’s joint party) 12; Religious Zionism party 10; Shas ( Sephardic orthodox party) 8.
Rounding out the bottom are United Torah Judaism (Ashkenazi orthodox party) 7; the once powerful Labor party a mere 6; The joint (Arab) list 6. Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Liberman's Party) 6; Meretz (led by Gal-On after Tamar Zandberg announced she is stepping down) 5; The Arab RA'AM party 4 seats; and in a shock, it seems that Yamina, Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennet’s former party does not pass the threshold and gets no seats.
A pre-election poll released by Israel’s Channel 11 on Monday found that, were elections held that day, opposition leader Netanyahu’s Likud party would win 34 mandates, more than any other party. https://t.co/x67yXooUU8
— Algemeiner (@Algemeiner) July 11, 2022
It is no surprise that Bennet stepped down and said he would not be running this time, passing the party's reigns to Ayelet Shaked, once considered a superstar and now seemingly the leader of a failing party. It is important to note that the Yamina party is the party of Bennet, and it is rumored that Bennet, who notably did not mention Shaked in his resignation speech, is trying to diminish her standing in the political arena by allowing the blame to be placed on her for the party's imminent demise.
The survey also shows that in the question of who is a better fit for prime minister if it came down to either Benjamin Netanyahu or Yair Lapid, 45% of respondents prefer Netanyahu as prime minister (a decrease of 6% from the previous survey conducted in June), while 32% prefer Yair Lapid (a 2% increase from the previous survey conducted in June).
The merger between the Blue and White and New Hope parties might offer Benny Gantz a shot at becoming Israel's prime minister after the November elections, @BenCaspit writes. https://t.co/y4iPF5oau3
— Al-Monitor (@AlMonitor) July 12, 2022
Voters who were questioned also were asked on a potential scenario in which either Benjamin Netanyahu or Benny Gantz would run the coalition. To this question. 46% of respondents prefer Netanyahu as prime minister (down by 1% from the previous survey conducted in June), while 29% prefer Gantz (the same figure as the previous survey conducted in June).
A deeper analysis of these raw numbers generally indicates right-leaning voters for the upcoming election. Not much has changed in Israeli political leanings; what has changed is Netanyahu’s absence from office for over a year and how voters interpret his time in the opposition.
Israel elections: Smotrich, Ben-Gvir to finalize merger in 'coming days' - The Jerusalem Post https://t.co/pDLY1gJmNw #2020Elections #Elections #Politics #GeneralElection
— Global News Report (@robinsnewswire) July 20, 2022
Many right-wingers would like to see a large coalition made up of right and center-right parties, with or without Netanyahu’s presence. Israel’s left-leaning voters would ideally like a coalition of Arab and left-leaning parties, with Netanyahu preferably behind bars for his alleged corruption. Netanyahu's seemingly endless trial is still ongoing and it is unlikely there will be resolution there before the elections.